A WINTER WEATHER THREAT From Monday to Tuesday?

NOTE: When I started writing this, the Euro model still showed some snow. Now, when this is published, the snow was gone. Still gonna keep an eye on it though. I didn't add any photos because of it too.

That's right folks, you read the title, there is our first actual winter weather threat for this snow season! This seems to be a SNOW threat. However, don't get your hopes up. This threat is about a week away from even happening, and if you have been reading my posts for a while, or have just been following winter weather threats, you know that a lot of threats quickly change, and a weather threat involving 3+ inches of snow will turn into nothing.

So let us focus on our weather threat, eh? From Monday night to Wednesday, the Euro model shows accumulative snow falling, and the amount is 3-6+ inches. I don't exactly... buy this because a winter weather threat with 3-6+ inches possible, in December, isn't exactly... how do I put this... likely. It could easily happen, but it just doesn't feel right. However, December is supposed to be the coldest month, comparing to its average, so it could definitely happen. The Euro is the most accurate model, historically. However, the GFS does not show any snow, at least accumulative, for most of the DMV. I personally think that the GFS run will be more likely to happen, but you never know. The system is kind of in place though. So I think we CAN see some snow, but having more than 3 inches of snow just seems very... fishy.

Basically, all you need to know is that there is a possible winter threat for Monday-Wednesday, and if that threat happens, disruptions will occur. It's still not very likely though...

It's snowing right now!

 On 11:29 AM today, snow showers were falling in Gaithersburg, out on my deck. Nothing accumulative, but just nice to see. It was sticking for like 1-2 seconds then melted away. However, for this reason, I don't know if this was snow, sleet, or graupel. Please tell me if you saw any snow today! This what somewhat expected though, many DC weather stations said there would be a chance of some snow today.

A Chance for Flurries and Snow Showers Monday Morning?

 There is a chance for some flurries for Monday Morning. However, DC and most of Maryland will receive flurries. The people who will receive snow showers will mostly be southwest of Maryland. The snow won't be accumulative, but some people, may be able to see a dusting, especially south of Maryland. Our northern areas might be able to see a dusting, but don't count on it.

As you can see from the map above(courtesy of WUSA 9), there will be snow for most of the DMV during the (early) morning hours. In very southern areas, there might be a mix of snow and rain. The yellow line separates which areas will get flurries and snow showers(heavier snow, not actually heavy though). Areas who are on top of the yellow line will probably see flurries and not snow showers, while areas BELOW the yellow line are more likely to see snow showers and heavier snow than the areas on top of the yellow line.

This will have no impact on the day, just will be nice to see. If you live below the yellow line, you will see more heavier snow, but don't expect a winter wonderland. The snow will still probably fall at a light rate.  Also, my winter forecasts post will be coming soon. Stay tuned for that, as this winter will be more interesting than usual... maybe?

Some of the pages formatting is weird...

 If you look at the pages, you might have noticed that they don't look the way they should look. That's because I am editing them a little bit. They will be fixed soon.

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First snow of the season for the DMV today!

 I have some great news. Parts of the DMV got flurries today morning. Which means that we have recieved the first snow this year!

There is a chance for snow showers in the DMV...?

 As you all know, we are getting a lot of rain from Hurricane Zeta these past days. Well, we could actually see our first snowflakes from tonight to early Monday morning! We could see snow showers or a squall. The reason is that a cold front will pass through the DMV today, and temps will drop to the 30's/40's(20's in mountains). When that has happened, there is a chance for precipitation to come in our area; a stray (snow) shower from north, and since the temps are cold enough, there could be some snow! There's a pretty ok chance for it to happen. The air aloft is cold enough support the snow, so ground temps won't really stop the snow(basically the snow can fall without melting mid-air). Like 90% of snow events, it will be more likelier to see snow if you live north and west(I'm pretty sure mountains have and will see snow if they haven't already). Models and weather apps don't really show any snow at all, but that's because they usually don't see any stray precipitation coming for us.

It's still a chance though. So don't get too excited. It could also be a squall, which is some light rain.

It's pretty cold outside...

 It's cold outside. It's 32 (the lowest we got was down to 30) degrees outside where I live. I don't know if we have hit 32 degrees before this month or September, but I don't think we really have(in Gaithersburg at least). Anyways, if you have been following the weather lately, you know that there's a hurricane happening right now: Zeta. Although what happened in Texas, Oklahoma, Arizona, and a little part of some other states are what you WOULDN'T expect. You would expect to get hit with rain... but instead, they got hit with snow, an ice storm, sleet; just winter weather. A lot of places were under a winter storm warning for 5+ inches of snow, others were in an advisory, some were in an ice storm warning to dump .3-1 inches of ice. That kind of hurt because they got this snow(not the ice storm though I don't like ice storms) IN OCTOBER. Plus, its happening in Texas. Well, the same thing happened during Hurricane Sandy in 2012. While most of the northeast that were affected by Hurricane Sandy got rain, WV(and the mountains in MD and the southern part of PA) got POUNDED with a snowstorm that brought over 24 inches of snow! Some people reported up to 3 feet, which is close to Winter Storm Jonas! And it happened on October too. So don't feel bad that they are getting winter weather this early, its because of the hurricane.

Also I am waiting for more winter forecasts to come out, so I can make a good post. Sorry I haven't been posting much lately.

Where have I been?

 I haven't posted an actual post in a long time. Like, in 2 months. What happened? Not much really. I just didn't have the motivation to post daily in the summer, and I am also getting more homework and quizzes than I did the past 2 years. However, expect more posts as the fall goes on. The 2020-2021 winter seems like an Lá Niña, which is not favored for an above-average snowfall. More winter forecasts will be coming out throughout October and November, and expect me to make posts about them. When we start getting snow threats, I will start posting a lot. However, I doubt that even if we reopen schools by Feb, we will have any snow days. I think that there will be NO snow days for the 2020-2021 school year, because everyone will be ready to do virtual learning. Unless we get a blizzard like Snowmeggadon(2010) or Snowzilla(2016), there's almost no chance that we will get snow days. I probably will post about the Farmer's Almanac winter forecast in the next 1-4 weeks. Stay tuned for that.

TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHERN MOCO

THERE'S A TORNADO WARNING IN EFFECT! GET DOWN TO THE LOWEST PLACE IN THE BUILDING YOU ARE IN RIGHT NOW!!!!

Update: The tornado has passed for me,  but there is still a watch in effect. You should still need to be careful.

**IMPORTANT** Why MCPS will STILL have snow days!

Hello, I haven't posted in a long time. It's been about 2-3 months since my last post. Sorry about that. Anyways, MCPS has announced that the first 2 quarters will be distant learning; which means that we will have distant learning UNTIL Jan 20. A lot of people have said that we will never have snow days again after the pandemic because of the introduction to virtual instruction, and instead have virtual learning days when conditions are too unsafe to physically come to school. But I will be telling you why I think we will still have snow days!


The main reason lies inaccessibility to technology. It comes down to Chromebook distribution. Many students in MCPS do not have access to Chromebooks. In March 2020, MCPS said that when this is all over, students will be returning their Chromebooks to the schools. Without the Chromebooks, learning in physical school would be abrupted, since a lot of schools today are dependent on technology such as the Chromebook. And if MCPS even decided that students would keep their Chromebooks, that would be too risky. A lot of Chromebooks would fall and break. MCPS wouldn't have enough money and time to buy and fix Chromebooks. And the second reason is if there is a blizzard or an ice storm, the power could go out completely, and NO ONE would be able to do distance learning. And, Chromebook distribution would be too dangerous, especially with more than .25 inches of ice and 12+ inches of snow, and would take too long anyway. It took about 1-2 weeks for MCPS to distribute Chromebooks to the students back in late March/April. The longest I can remember MCPS closing was for a week, in 2016, when a huge blizzard hit the DMV, and dumped 18-36 inches across the DMV, and even 42 inches in some areas! And even if that happened again, no one would even be able to get out in the first place.


People are also saying that 2021 will have mostly no snow days. That is somewhat true. December-March is winter. There are 4 months. December and January(most of it) will be complete distant learning. We still have February and March, and as a lot of us know, we can get a lot of snow during those months. However, that is hoping that everything will be better by then. We really don't know how this pandemic will go, but if everything goes well, we can still have snow days! Thank you for reading.