There is a pretty good chance of thunderstorms and showers tonight, specifically between 9:30AM Wednesday-1AM Thursday. There is a chance of tornadoes, but it is pretty low. It could happen though, you never know, but it seems unlikely. We could get a severe thunderstorm, but again, there is a low-medium chance of that happening(has a better chance of happening than a tornado though)(35-51% chance). There will be a strong thunderstorm, potentially a severe thunderstorm(best chances to the west of MoCo)(strongest thunderstorms may be west of MoCo). After today, it will get much colder and windier through Thursday(cold front moving in which gives us cold winds). The cold front is supposed to last from 2/27/2020-3/2/2020. 3/05/2020-3/11/2020 is supposed to have normal(average temperatures). Cherry blossoms are already in the process of blooming in many places and have bloomed already in some places in the DMV(mainly D.C. and south)! They are in the process of blooming(starting to come out of their buds) in my yard, in Gaithersburg!
But where is the winter? So far, I have ONLY recorded 4.8 inches of snow in Gaithersburg, but most reports show people getting around 3" of snow, with a lot of places getting below that. Some places are getting more than that, but those places are north and west(Fredrick County, Loudoun County, Shenandoah Valley, Blue Ridge, Mountains, Garrett County, Allegany County, Washington County, etc.). The reason for the lack of snow is not the lack of precipitation; in fact, it is the exact opposite. We are having lots of precipitation(rain), but what we are lacking cold air. The Polar Vortex is locked up in the north(Canada, Alaska) and is not collapsing(giving the lower 48 cold air). So far, there is 0.6" of snow in Reagan National(its been a year since an inch or more of snow there), 2.9" of snow in IAD(Dulles), and 1.8" of snow in BWI(Baltimore)(if it doesn't snow this February, this will be the first time there will be a snowless February in Baltimore). These snow totals are way, way, way below average for this moment in time, let alone seasonal. If we want above-average snow, we need a major snowstorm in March(10-12"+). We need at least 52" of snow if Reagan National wants to keep it's average the same(15.4" of snow). This is a very long shot from happening, let alone getting above-average snowfall this year. This cold front could be our last chance for getting snow before spring comes(it is basically already here). I am not saying it is our last chance for snow this year, but I am counting on this to give us a good snowstorm.
But where is the winter? So far, I have ONLY recorded 4.8 inches of snow in Gaithersburg, but most reports show people getting around 3" of snow, with a lot of places getting below that. Some places are getting more than that, but those places are north and west(Fredrick County, Loudoun County, Shenandoah Valley, Blue Ridge, Mountains, Garrett County, Allegany County, Washington County, etc.). The reason for the lack of snow is not the lack of precipitation; in fact, it is the exact opposite. We are having lots of precipitation(rain), but what we are lacking cold air. The Polar Vortex is locked up in the north(Canada, Alaska) and is not collapsing(giving the lower 48 cold air). So far, there is 0.6" of snow in Reagan National(its been a year since an inch or more of snow there), 2.9" of snow in IAD(Dulles), and 1.8" of snow in BWI(Baltimore)(if it doesn't snow this February, this will be the first time there will be a snowless February in Baltimore). These snow totals are way, way, way below average for this moment in time, let alone seasonal. If we want above-average snow, we need a major snowstorm in March(10-12"+). We need at least 52" of snow if Reagan National wants to keep it's average the same(15.4" of snow). This is a very long shot from happening, let alone getting above-average snowfall this year. This cold front could be our last chance for getting snow before spring comes(it is basically already here). I am not saying it is our last chance for snow this year, but I am counting on this to give us a good snowstorm.
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