Monday, April 13, 2020

TORNADO WATCH FOR MOCO AND MOST OF MARYLAND AND SOME OF VIRGINIA

2:27 PM
The thunderstorm has ended, and now it is sunny outside! At least for now...
2:10PM
The thunderstorm has arrived! The sky went from mostly cloudy to dark and cloudy in just seconds. Inside my house, my lights are flickering. There was thunder, and you better believe it was loud! There was also lightning, but mainly thunder. There was thunder before the rain. Torrential downpours are falling outside my house, and I can hear the winds howling as they gust.
2:01 PM
The severe thunderstorm warning has been extended to 2:45 PM.
1:28 PM
There is a severe thunderstorm warning for 55% of MoCo(the northern half) that includes Gaithersburg, Clarksburg, Damascus, and Olney. Most of Fredrick County, some parts of Loudoun County, and Caroll county are in the warning as well. It ends at 2:00 PM. There is also an Areal Flood Warning for NW Washington and Southern and Central MoCo. The tornado watch and wind advisory are still here.

11:43 AM
There is a tornado watch for most of Maryland, including MoCo and D.C., and parts of Virginia(eastern VA). Those watches may turn into warnings. There is sleet like hail and torrential downpours outside my house(including minor flooding). 

Sunday, April 12, 2020

Severe Weather Sunday Night- Monday

There is severe weather likely for parts of the Southeast, and that includes the DMV. There is a wind advisory for MoCo, and other parts of Maryland, including most of Virginia, and everyone else(except for D.C, who is in a wind advisory) is in a high wind warning. Tonight and tomorrow, there will be thunderstorms and rain, severe possible, with lots of winds, some damaging. There could also be hail and even tornadoes. However, the main concern for tornadoes is far south, but it could still happen here. There could even be flooding. It says this all in the hazardous weather outlook(note: this is for the NWS station for DC/Baltimore):  "A Wind Advisory is in effect for much of the area beginning at 4 AM EDT tonight. Showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected late tonight. Heavier showers and thunderstorms may contain locally damaging wind gusts after midnight. There is also a threat for localized flooding after midnight. A High Wind Warning is in effect for the Appalachians and Blue Ridge Mountains and adjacent areas from 6 AM to 6 PM Monday. A Wind Advisory is in effect elsewhere until 6 PM EDT Monday. Severe thunderstorms are possible Monday, especially during the mid-morning and afternoon hours. Damaging winds, large hail, and an increased threat for tornadoes exists. Localized flooding is also possible on Monday."

This outlook says it all. There could be power outages and downed trees, especially in areas who are under a high wind warning. Since everyone is staying home, the best advice I can give you is to be prepared for severe weather and be ready in the event of a tornado warning. You can do that by turning on your emergency alerts, check the radio/news, etc., and in case of a tornado, go down to your basement(your lowest floor) and/or go to a room with no windows(or the least amount in your house).

Weather Risks Mon-Sat. Index on the far left. 


Wednesday, April 8, 2020

American Model shows Snow Threat on April 17

Ok fine, I'm gonna admit that I haven't really been checking much weather lately; what not all with this pandemic going on. But, I decided to check, and I found a snow threat that the American Model showed on April 17. Personally, I think that it isn't going to happen. But if it does, and snow falls, I think that could be a record here. First of all, the April sun angle will DEFINITELY melt snow that falls lightly or moderately, the snow has to fall heavily for any stickage at all; most of the snow would probably melt in the air because of the April sun angle. However, there is a "solution" to this problem, and that solution would be snow falling in the night. However, the temps would HAVE to be below 32 degrees, and snow would have to be falling at least moderately for maybe some accumulation. If temps are not below 32, snow rates would have to be at least 2-3+ inches of snow per hour, which is insane, and the only times I can recall that ever happening was in the blizzard of January 22-23 2016, or the blizzard of February 5-6 2010, which were BLIZZARDS. And even if that happens, surface temps will be well above freezing, so snow will have to fall heavily, but if temps are below 32, sooner or later, that issue will be solved. And for the biggest problem why: THIS STORM IS MORE THAN A WEEK AWAY AND WILL CHANGE!!!! But however, I have some great news for you snow lovers! The weather for the second half of next week looks to be chilly for mid-April standards. The pattern for this month looks to be favorable for cold weather and snow. If this happened in January, February, March, I could have confidently have predicted snow. But since it is April... I wouldn't exactly count on it, but there is hope. We have all the ingredients for snow, but what we need for snow is for the ingredients to line up a little more right. I am not saying that the chance is high for snow, but I am just saying, it is actually plausible. In summary, I am basically trying to say that the weather is going to become chillier, and there could be a chance for some snow as we go on, but I wouldn't count on it.

The American and European Model at 1AM EDT(Blue= Snow Green = Rain Purple= Very Heavy Snow)

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