Wednesday, April 8, 2020

American Model shows Snow Threat on April 17

Ok fine, I'm gonna admit that I haven't really been checking much weather lately; what not all with this pandemic going on. But, I decided to check, and I found a snow threat that the American Model showed on April 17. Personally, I think that it isn't going to happen. But if it does, and snow falls, I think that could be a record here. First of all, the April sun angle will DEFINITELY melt snow that falls lightly or moderately, the snow has to fall heavily for any stickage at all; most of the snow would probably melt in the air because of the April sun angle. However, there is a "solution" to this problem, and that solution would be snow falling in the night. However, the temps would HAVE to be below 32 degrees, and snow would have to be falling at least moderately for maybe some accumulation. If temps are not below 32, snow rates would have to be at least 2-3+ inches of snow per hour, which is insane, and the only times I can recall that ever happening was in the blizzard of January 22-23 2016, or the blizzard of February 5-6 2010, which were BLIZZARDS. And even if that happens, surface temps will be well above freezing, so snow will have to fall heavily, but if temps are below 32, sooner or later, that issue will be solved. And for the biggest problem why: THIS STORM IS MORE THAN A WEEK AWAY AND WILL CHANGE!!!! But however, I have some great news for you snow lovers! The weather for the second half of next week looks to be chilly for mid-April standards. The pattern for this month looks to be favorable for cold weather and snow. If this happened in January, February, March, I could have confidently have predicted snow. But since it is April... I wouldn't exactly count on it, but there is hope. We have all the ingredients for snow, but what we need for snow is for the ingredients to line up a little more right. I am not saying that the chance is high for snow, but I am just saying, it is actually plausible. In summary, I am basically trying to say that the weather is going to become chillier, and there could be a chance for some snow as we go on, but I wouldn't count on it.

The American and European Model at 1AM EDT(Blue= Snow Green = Rain Purple= Very Heavy Snow)

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