Thursday, March 18, 2021

Friday Snow Update

The models are starting to somewhat break up the bands of snow coming towards us and giving us snow.  And most of the snow should fall after sunrise, meaning that if the snow isn't heavy, the snow will melt on everything, including grass(the ground is also warm). That is something I didn't account in my post yesterday, and that was a mistake of me. It may get at or below 32 degrees in Northern MoCo, and especially north and west of us, giving us the chance for some slushy accumulation on the grass. It won't amount to much, and an inch would be a big boom in totals. As of now, my forecast for Northern MoCo will be a slushy coating on the grass to an inch(leaning towards LOWER totals) and a bare ground - a half inch of snow in Southern MoCo(again, leaning towards LOWER totals). If 12z models have the heavy precip bands setting up over us again, with more cold air, we could see higher numbers and more accumulation. It will have to be watched though. If we don't get anything from this, this would still be a good winter for me! 23.5 inches and only an inch away from average in La Nina is pretty good. That is around average cause it's almost impossible to hit spot on an exact average. I am happy with this winter. Even though after some chilly days there's going to be a long warmup, models are indicating some teleconnection flipping that will favor wintry weather. Winter isn't over until early May for me. One time in the past 21 years(I don't remember the exact year), we got an inch of snow in April. Severe weather for us is upcoming, and the season has already started. If any local severe weather happens in our area, I will make a post about it shortly.

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