Thursday, February 24, 2022

Snowflake Prediction for Friday

My snowflake prediction for Friday is 2 snowflakes. Exact percentages are 55% delay, and a 10% chance for closure. The reason I'm leaning towards a delay is because the HRRR is now showing a lot more additional ice on top of what we already have throughout the night. Although temps do rise above freezing, there won't be enough time for it to melt for a full day. I think there won't be a closure because temps will rise very quickly above freezing and melt all of the ice. Even though the ice won't accumulate that much on sidewalks and streets, there will be some slick spots in areas with the simulation the HRRR is showing, at the very least. Some streets and sidewalks could be completely covered in ice, especially in areas like Damascus. The storm looks to be overpreforming a bit right now. HRRR isn't picking up on the freezing drizzle that is happening right now too. Temps dont get above freezing until 7 am on the HRRR for some parts of the county. Because of these reasons, I am confident in a delay but not in a closure. Remember: what the HRRR shows is ADDITIONAL ice. The WWA goes until 10 am for Northern MoCo.

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