Good evening everyone! As you might have heard already, many parts of our region saw their first wintry weather this morning. I personally got sleet/snow mixed with rain that melted instantly. It was too light to really see, but based on the way it melted, reports around me, and radar, I was able to determine the PType. The main chance for flurries around the region will be on Sunday, and maybe Tuesday(Ill go over this soon). If you look on the models, it doesn't seem anything will be hitting us, but models usually miss these type of flurry events. The trend has been for this clipper to start earlier, which means that it will be colder when the clipper starts; therefore making conditions more substantial for snow. As usual, north and west areas have the best chance to see flurries. The best chance for snow, or a mix of snow will be in the morning and evening/night. There is expected to be no accumulation with this system, as snow rates will be too light.
This is the plume for KFDK(Frederick Airport), and it shows when precipitation falls, and what time it happens. At around late Saturday night/early Sunday morning, it shows snow starting to fall, and then as the time goes on the chances of rain start to increase and eventually it gets to a point where the snow rate starts to decrease and gives into rain. Later in the day it shows rain stopping and a little(small) amount of snow at the end. (The blue at the end is for Tuesday).
This is the plume for KIAD(Dulles, further south), and it shows a similar thing except that the snow lasts less longer and there is more rain(also some freezing rain weirdly pops up on this). When rain chances start to increase with snow, you can expect some mixing.
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