Monday, June 14, 2021

Slight Risk today for most of DMV for Severe Weather

 9:40 PM Update:


There is a severe storm for MoCo. Expect quarter sized hail(1"), and 60 MPH winds.

This article is going to be a rather quick post, and I won't be looking into any models or anything, just the SPC risk and the MCD for our area. I will update this post. Sorry for not writing this sooner!

Anyhow, the SPC has issued a slight risk for our area, with the main threat being damaging winds, along with large hail and isolated tornadoes. In the yellow area, there is a 15% chance to see 65+ MPH winds, 1" or larger hail, and a tornado 25 miles away from any given point. The main timing is between 6 PM - 2 AM Tuesday, and storms will continue throughout the night.

MD 973 graphic

A mesoscale discussion has been issued by the SPC for a lot of our area, stating that a severe storm watch is likely, and that strong to severe storms will form as a cold front pushes through the area. Dewpoints of 60-70 plus MLCAPE around 1500-2000 will support severe storms.

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